Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
35.77% | 26.84% | 37.39% |
Both teams to score 51.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% | 53.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% | 28.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% | 64.61% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% | 27.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% | 63.4% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 6 | 31 | 47 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 39 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 31 |
7 | Osasuna | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 26 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mallorca | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 25 |
11 | Almeria | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 22 |
12 | GironaGirona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Valencia | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 20 |
15 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 20 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 19 |
19 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
20 | ElcheElche | 19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 39 | -27 | 6 |
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