La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Alaves
1 - 3
Celta Vigo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 28.73% | 28.62% | 42.64% |
| Both teams to score 44.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
