MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 17:57:35| >> :120:73165:73165:
Belgium national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Azerbaijan national football team

Belgium
5 - 0
Azerbaijan

Lukaku (17', 26', 30', 37'), Trossard (90')
Theate (22'), Vranckx (45')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Silvestre (20'), Mahammadaliyev (86')
Silvestre (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belgium and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Austria81019
2Belgium71317
3Sweden707
4Azerbaijan7-57
5Estonia7-181

We said: Belgium 2-0 Azerbaijan

Competition for places - both in Belgium's Euro 2024 squad and their starting XI - should ensure the home side still aim to impress, despite already wrapping up qualification. Replicating an historic achievement just three days after seeing off Sweden will be too much to ask for Azerbaijan, who are set to suffer their fifth defeat from eight Group F games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawAzerbaijan
66.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 19.23% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 13.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.104 -0.1)41.92% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.104 -0.1)64.33% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)11.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.38% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)36.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)42.1% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)78.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 66.87%
    Azerbaijan 13.89%
    Draw 19.23%
BelgiumDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 66.87%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.23%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 13.89%

How you voted: Belgium vs Azerbaijan

Belgium
79.1%
Draw
9.3%
Azerbaijan
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
0-1
Belgium

Seydayev (78')
Carrasco (38')
Doku (90+2'), Batshuayi (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!