Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
