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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
49.39% ( -0.71) | 23.21% ( 0.27) | 27.39% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( -0.95) | 41.01% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( -0.97) | 63.4% ( 0.97) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( -0.61) | 16.79% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( -1.1) | 46.75% ( 1.1) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -0.17) | 27.95% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -0.22) | 63.58% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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