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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
67.24% ( 0.03) | 18.48% ( -0) | 14.28% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.52% ( -0.04) | 37.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.29% ( -0.04) | 59.7% ( 0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.73% ( -0) | 10.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.35% ( -0.01) | 33.65% ( 0.01) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% ( -0.07) | 38.72% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( -0.06) | 75.46% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.92% 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 67.23% | 1-1 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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