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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Millwall


Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

Millwall have only actually lost four times away from home in the Championship this season, sharing the spoils on five occasions, while Bristol City have dropped points in half of their 12 home league games in 2023-24. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
42.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 26.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)52.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)59.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.35%
    Millwall 31.25%
    Draw 26.39%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-0
Bristol City
Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720

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