MX23RW : Wednesday, February 14 04:07:24| >> :60:2613:2613:
Napoli logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Real Madrid logo
Napoli
2 - 3
Real Madrid
Skiri Oestigaard (19'), Zielinski (54' pen.)
Natan (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Junior (27'), Bellingham (34'), Meret (78' og.)
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
The Match
Match Report
Jude Bellingham shines as Real Madrid secure a crucial 3-2 victory over Napoli at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Girona 0-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawReal Madrid
43.81% (0.68 0.68) 23.45% (-0.489 -0.49) 32.74% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 62.48% (1.713 1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (2.278 2.28)39.11% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (2.349 2.35)61.43% (-2.355 -2.36)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (1.213 1.21)18.22% (-1.218 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (2.03 2.03)49.25% (-2.035 -2.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.974 0.97)23.58% (-0.978 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (1.388 1.39)57.65% (-1.394 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 43.81%
    Real Madrid 32.74%
    Draw 23.45%
NapoliDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.504 -0.5)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.242 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.187 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.495 -0.5)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Napoli vs Real Madrid

Napoli
23.2%
Draw
18.0%
Real Madrid
58.8%
311
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
3-1
Napoli
Benzema (18'), Kroos (49'), Casemiro (54')
Ramos (17'), Modric (52')
Insigne (8')
Zielinski (38'), Mertens (76')
rhs 2.0
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