Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli
2 - 0
Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Napoli 2-2 Braga
Napoli are a difficult team to back at the moment, even on home soil. It would be a shock to see Braga secure the result that they need in order to finish second, but we are expecting the visitors to claim a point, which would guarantee their spot in the Europa League knockout round playoffs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Braga |
42.12% ( 0.27) | 22.53% ( 0.02) | 35.35% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 66.84% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
