Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
INEA Stadion
Lech Poznan
1 - 0
Qarabag FK
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-3 Marseille
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Lech Poznan 2-1 Qarabag FK
Both sides carry a goal threat, and as domestic champions, are used to taking the initiative. Eagerness to gain a first-leg lead could open up opportunities at either end, but Lech are set to get off to a winning start under their new manager. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lech Poznan | Draw | Qarabag FK |
36.18% ( 0) | 21.96% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 69.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.33% ( -0.03) | 30.67% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.01% ( -0.03) | 51.99% ( 0.03) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 48.73% ( 0.02) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( -0.01) | 15.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( -0.02) | 44.55% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan 36.18%
Qarabag FK 41.86%
Draw 21.96%
Lech Poznan | Draw | Qarabag FK |
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.39% 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 41.86% |
How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Qarabag FK
Lech Poznan
53.4%Draw
20.5%Qarabag FK
26.0%73
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2023-05-18 05:00:32
2pm
Hanfmann
Medvedev
Medvedev
7.30pm
Tsitsipas
Coric
Coric
Tables
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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