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Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Leverkusen logo
Atletico
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen
Carrasco (22'), De Paul (50')
Gimenez (79'), Kondogbia (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Diaby (9'), Hudson-Odoi (29')
Alonso (41'), Hradecky (65'), Bakker (66'), Hincapie (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

We are expecting an entertaining game here, as two talented sides battle it out in an all-or-nothing clash. The visitors will be dangerous with the likes of Moussa Diaby on the break, but we think the quality of Simeone's side should be enough to seal a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
42.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 27.05% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 30.7% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.56% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (0.282 0.28)55.53% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (0.23 0.23)76.71% (-0.232 -0.23)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.14399999999999 0.14)25.97% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (0.195 0.2)60.99% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.17400000000001 0.17)33.05% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.193 0.19)69.64% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 42.24%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.7%
    Draw 27.05%
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Atletico vs B. Leverkusen

Atletico Madrid
84.8%
Draw
10.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
5.2%
289
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group B
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Atletico
Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
Odilon (32')
Nov 6, 2019 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Atletico
Bellarabi (48'), Savic (68' og.)
Henrichs (15'), Dragovic (58'), Wendell (64'), Aranguiz (74')
Niguez (17'), Griezmann (25'), Gameiro (58' pen.), Torres (86')
Torres (88'), Gabi (89'), Luis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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