MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 11:18:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Leverkusen logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Wolfsburg's form has been inconsistent so far this season, but they have performed much better on home soil, suggesting that they can give Leverkusen a run for their money on Saturday. However, Alonso's side look to be a cut above their forthcoming opponents, and we can envisage them winning a sixth straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.46% (1.509 1.51) 25.03% (0.289 0.29) 41.52% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.71% (-0.831 -0.83)46.29% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.42% (-0.79 -0.79)68.58% (0.785 0.78)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.532 0.53)26.6% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (0.701 0.7)61.82% (-0.704 -0.7)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-1.197 -1.2)22.24% (1.192 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-1.83 -1.83)55.68% (1.825 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.46%
    Bayer Leverkusen 41.52%
    Draw 25.02%
WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.385 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.227 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.52%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs B. Leverkusen

Wolfsburg
12.7%
Draw
14.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
72.7%
55
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Wolfsburg

Alario (90+2')
Baku (35')
Lacroix (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913

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