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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Stuttgart


Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Stuttgart

The international break came at the best possible moment for Union Berlin, whose collective confidence understandably appeared to be on the floor after suffering seven straight defeats in all competitions. Stuttgart, on the other hand, have mostly been an irrepressible force, led by their talismanic striker Guirassy. Both teams' contrasting runs of form surely cannot continue for too much longer, particularly in the case of the hosts, who contain too much quality and spirit to keep losing. As such, we can envisage an entertaining score draw in the capital, which is a result that neither manager would likely be too disappointed with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
38.26% (0.543 0.54) 25.6% (0.311 0.31) 36.13% (-0.857 -0.86)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-1.446 -1.45)48.42% (1.444 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-1.334 -1.33)70.55% (1.333 1.33)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)24.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.514 -0.51)59.44% (0.512 0.51)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-1.152 -1.15)26.02% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-1.576 -1.58)61.06% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 38.26%
    Stuttgart 36.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9% (0.435 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
25.4%
Draw
16.9%
Stuttgart
57.6%
59
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Union Berlin
2-1
Stuttgart
Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913

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