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SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Leipzig logo

SV Darmstadt 98
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Kempe (32' pen.)
Holland (47'), Klarer (49'), Nurnberger (60'), Skarke (67'), Maglica (68'), Muller (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Openda (1', 72'), Forsberg (24')
Raum (63'), Openda (68'), Kampl (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-2 RB Leipzig

Darmstadt would have taken confidence from picking up consecutive victories, but we think that they will come undone against a Leipzig side that have won their last two Bundesliga away matches without conceding a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
26.61% (0.139 0.14) 22.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 50.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.181 0.18)39.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.191 0.19)61.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.19500000000001 0.2)27.55% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (0.252 0.25)63.07% (-0.253 -0.25)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.022000000000006 0.02)15.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 26.61%
    RB Leipzig 50.7%
    Draw 22.68%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.61%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 50.7%

How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs RB Leipzig

SV Darmstadt 98
12.0%
Draw
10.0%
RB Leipzig
78.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Keita (13', 81'), Forsberg (67'), Orban (79')
Burke (42')

Schipplock (57'), Sirigu (62'), Kamavuaka (83')
Sirigu (72')
Oct 29, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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