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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
26.61% ( 0.14) | 22.69% ( -0.01) | 50.7% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.83% ( 0.18) | 39.16% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( 0.19) | 61.49% ( -0.19) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% ( 0.2) | 27.55% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.92% ( 0.25) | 63.07% ( -0.25) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( 0.02) | 15.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.34% ( 0.04) | 44.65% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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