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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
57.13% | 22.31% | 20.56% |
Both teams to score 54.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% | 44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% | 15.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.22% | 43.78% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% | 35.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% | 72.1% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.13% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 26 |
11 | FC Koln | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 17 |
17 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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