Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.