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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
54.45% | 22.17% | 23.39% |
Both teams to score 59.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.11% | 39.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.75% | 62.24% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% | 14.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% | 30.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.34% | 66.65% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.27% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-1 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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