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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
41% | 27.05% | 31.95% |
Both teams to score 50.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.83% | 55.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.59% | 76.41% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% | 26.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% | 61.65% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% | 31.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% | 68.44% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.14% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 27 | 45 | 52 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 48 |
4 | Freiburg | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 46 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 40 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 37 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 31 |
12 | Augsburg | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 28 |
13 | FC Koln | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 25 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 21 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 21 |
18 | Stuttgart | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
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