The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hertha Berlin and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | -34 | 33 |
| 17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Bayreuth vs. Hamburger SV
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 32 | 60 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 25 | 60 |
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Hamburger SV
The two sides head into Thursday's contest in contrasting form but the momentum is certainly with Hamburg, who will be confident of breaching Hertha Berlin's leaky backline given their free-scoring form in front of goal. With a number of players missing for Hertha, we can see the visitors securing a slender victory, which would providing them with the advantage for next Monday's second leg on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 60.28%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-3 (7.2%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Hamburger SV |
20.12% ( 0.01) | 19.6% ( 0) | 60.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
