Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
