Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Fluminense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
