Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
