Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.