Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.