Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
