Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.