Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Foolad had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Foolad win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.