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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Feb 8, 2021 at 8.10am UK at Sydney Football Stadium
Sydney FC
2 - 1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
43.06%25.32%31.62%
Both teams to score 55.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.33%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21%55.79%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32%28.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5%64.5%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 43.06%
    Wellington Phoenix 31.62%
    Draw 25.31%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Wellington

Sydney FC
73.2%
Draw
12.2%
Wellington Phoenix
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
1-2
Sydney FC
Muratovic (45+1')
Payne (44'), Laws (67')
Nieuwenhof (29'), Brattan (55')
Warland (5'), Nieuwenhof (25'), Caceres (36'), Buhagiar (61'), Brattan (66')
Jul 17, 2020 10.30am
Sydney FC
3-1
Wellington
Le Fondre (76' pen.), Buhagiar (88', 90')
Baumjohann (85')
Piscopo (66' pen.)
Rufer (38'), Sotirio (62')
Dec 21, 2019 3.45am
Wellington
2-2
Sydney FC
Piscopo (25'), Davila (37')
DeVere (91')
Le Fondre (14'), Taylor (56' og.)
Caceres (45'), Grant (50'), Brattan (67')
Oct 20, 2019 8am
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
O'Neill (17'), Grant (77')
O'Neill (51'), Retre (84'), Caceres (92')
Davila (69')
Steinmann (37'), Piscopo (89')
Cacace (81')
Feb 23, 2019 6.35am
Wellington
0-1
Sydney FC

Durante (14'), Lowry (78'), Rufer (94')
Le Fondre (65' pen.)
Le Fondre (79'), Brosque (86'), O'Neill (86')
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