Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.