Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.