Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
