Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.9% ( -0.06) | 27% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.42% ( -0.08) | 54.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% ( -0.07) | 75.93% ( 0.07) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.08) | 30.38% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.1) | 66.57% ( 0.11) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( -0.01) | 62.66% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |