Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
