Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.