Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
32.09% | 26.76% | 41.15% |
Both teams to score 50.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% | 54.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% | 75.45% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% | 31.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% | 67.65% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% | 25.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% | 60.82% |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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