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Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 2am UK
 
Chile national football team
Peru
2 - 0
Chile
Cueva (36'), Pena (64')
Trauco (39'), Callens (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maripan (42'), Vegas (62'), Medel (72'), Pulgar (72'), Isla (82')

Preview: Peru vs. Chile - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Peru and Chile will face off at the Estadio Nacional de Lima on Thursday, with both sides in desperate need of a win to reignite their World Cup 2022 qualifying hopes.

Peru enter the matchday in seventh position after accumulating eight points, while Chile have a point fewer than their opponents and as a result, they are in eighth place.


Match preview

Peru manager Ricardo Gareca reacts on June 23, 2021© Reuters

Peru are five points off an automatic qualification place and they will see a home fixture as an opportunity to close that gap.

La Blanquirroja experienced a dreadful start to their campaign after only picking up one point in their first six games.

However, a three-match unbeaten run in qualifying followed, which included victories over Ecuador and Venezuela before they lost to Brazil in their most recent fixture with goals from Everton Ribeiro and Neymar proving enough to condemn Peru to their fifth defeat of the campaign.

Ricardo Gareca's side will have to improve defensively if they are to beat Chile, with Peru conceding 17 goals in qualifying - only Bolivia have conceded more.

At the other end of the pitch, Andre Carrillo has been pivotal for La Blanquirroja, scoring three goals in the campaign, and the Al Hilal player will need to perform if Peru are to get anything from the Chile encounter.

Chile manager Martin Lasarte reacts during the match on June 25, 2021© Reuters

Chile will enter the matchday six points off an automatic qualification place and, if La Roja are to make their third successive World Cup, then a winning run is required.

Chile have only won once in the entire campaign and their last six qualifying games have only yielded three points.

In Chile's last qualifying match, a goal from Jean Meneses proved insignificant, with Colombia running out 3-1 winners.

An important individual for La Roja has been Arturo Vidal, who has top-scored for Chile so far in qualifying having scored four goals.

Martin Lasarte's side will need someone to find their goalscoring touch due to the fact that Chile have only scored one goal in their last three games.

Peru World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Peru form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Chile World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Chile form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Peru's Yoshimar Yotun celebrates scoring a penalty during a penalty shootout on July 2, 2021© Reuters

Pedro Aquino has received a call-up to the Peru squad, having missed out on a place in the last international break, and the Club America player will likely start the game on the bench.

Peru's top-scorer in the campaign Carillo will start the fixture, with Gareca's side looking to collect their third victory of the campaign.

Ben Brereton Diaz has been called up for Chile and could come into the starting lineup for the fixture.

Chile's highest ever goalscorer Alexis Sanchez missed the last game against Colombia, but the Inter Milan player should come into the starting lineup for this encounter.

There is also the possibility that Lasarte brings Charles Aranguiz into the lineup.

Peru possible starting lineup:
Gallesse; Advincula, Santamaria, Callens, Lopez; Yotun, Tapia, Cueva; Carillo, Gonzales, Lapadula

Chile possible starting lineup:
Bravo; Diaz, Medel, Roco; Isla, Aranguiz, Vidal, Pulgar, Mena; Brereton Diaz, Sanchez


SM words green background

We say: Peru 1-2 Chile

This encounter is important for both sides and as a result the opening stages may be cagey, but we think Chile have the players that are capable of winning the game on their own and that may help them get the three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 35.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 32.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (6.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Peru vs Chile

Peru
38.2%
Draw
17.1%
Chile
44.7%
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