Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Greece in this match.