Serbia should be able to kick off their qualification campaign with a comfortable victory, and given the disparity between the two sides, it is more likely to be a question of how many they can win by.
With the likes of Mitrovic and Vlahovic to choose from in attack, it would not be a surprise to see the Eagles rack up a victory by a sizeable margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.67%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
-0.09) 
0.04) 
