Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cuba in this match.