Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Cuba had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cuba win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.