Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Belgium 2-0 Wales
With these two teams extremely familiar with each other, we anticipate this fixture remaining competitive throughout the 90 minutes. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Belgium on familiar territory, Martinez's men potentially making sure of the three points during the closing stages.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wales had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.
| Result |
| Belgium | Draw | Wales |
54.85% ( 0.11) | 20.88% ( -0.13) | 24.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( 0.5) |
| 67.3% ( 0.65) | 32.7% ( -0.65) |
| 45.62% ( 0.74) | 54.38% ( -0.75) |
| 87.9% ( 0.24) | 12.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.51) | 37.65% ( -0.51) |
| 74.19% ( 0.37) | 25.81% ( -0.37) |
