Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.