Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
42.23% | 24.71% | 33.06% |
Both teams to score 58.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.04% | 44.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.69% | 67.32% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% | 21.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% | 54.3% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% | 26.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% | 61.29% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |