Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
