MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
67.16% | 19.04% | 13.8% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% | 41.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% | 63.67% |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.64% | 11.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.94% | 36.06% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.17% | 41.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.72% | 78.28% |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-0 @ 11.23% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-0 @ 4.43% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.1% 5-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.85% Total : 67.15% | 1-1 @ 9.01% 0-0 @ 4.75% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 1.02% Total : 19.04% | 0-1 @ 4.14% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |