Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nice had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Nice |
59.65% | 23.46% | 16.9% |
Both teams to score 45.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.15% | 53.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.69% | 75.31% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% | 17.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% | 48.47% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.76% | 45.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.87% | 81.13% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.17% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 4.37% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 48 |
2 | Lens | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Marseille | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 38 |
5 | Rennes | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Lorient | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Lille | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Clermont | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 29 |
9 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Nice | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
13 | NantesNantes | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 20 |
15 | Troyes | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Brest | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 18 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 15 |
18 | Ajaccio | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 |
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