Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nice had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
