Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Leon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
