Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
