Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
